Obi-Wan Kenobi
/ 83.5.236.* / 2009-12-10 12:40
A oto co są warte "upiększane" dane, o czym rynek wie, i dlatego nimi się długo nie ekscytował...
the monthly, fraudulent jobs reports from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
To be succinct, they don't have the slightest connection to reality. These are not simply implausible estimates, but rather deliberate falsifications of data. The evidence for this conclusion is clear: the numbers from the weekly report on payroll lay-offs. Years of this data have produced predictable patterns between the number of weekly lay-offs and net monthly job losses.
When U.S. weekly lay-offs exceed 300,000 workers (for a total of roughly 1.3 million jobs per month), this has been the tipping point to when the U.S. begins to experience net, monthly job losses. Hiring and lay-offs move in an inverse manner to each other, not surprisingly. If lay-offs are rising, then hiring is falling (and vice versa). Thus when lay-offs reach 400,000 per week (roughly 1.8 million for the month), this means net monthly job losses must be in excess of 500,000 jobs. This represents an extra half-million lay-offs plus the greater disparity caused by the fall in hiring.
Similarly, when lay-offs exceed 500,000 per week (2.2 million lay-offs for the month), net monthly job losses must be well over 1 million jobs per month. U.S. weekly lay-offs for November totaled roughly 2 million. This means that the official BLS number for November of only 10,000 jobs being lost isn't simply unlikely it is theoretically impossible.